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WHO WILL RULE AFTER THE 2019 ELECTIONS? USING DATA TO PROJECT ELECTION RESULTS

Jan-Jan Joubert, journalist

Many South Africans were surprised by 2016 election results which saw the ANC lose three metros and several municipalities. The surprise was entirely unnecessary to anyone using the available data to project the results.

President Ramaphosa has replaced President Zuma, the land debate has fired up the country, the ANC continues to bleed support in by-elections and the DA’s shenanigans undermine its standing in the Western Cape. The EFF seems to be building up steam everywhere but the ballot box and the IFP is resurrecting itself from a political death bed in KwaZulu Natal.  Political journalist Jan-Jan Joubert discusses the trends and the issues, and shows how these, and available data, can be used to project the 2019 election results and read the political tea leaves correctly.

 

Recommended reading

Joubert, J. 2018. Who will rule in 2019? Cape Town: Jonathan Ball.

Mathekga, R. 2018. Ramaphosa’s Turn. Cape Town: Tafelberg.

Pauw, J. 2017. The President’s Keepers. Cape Town: Tafelberg.

Schreiber, L. 2018. Coalition Country. Cape Town: Tafelberg.

 

 

Date: Saturday 12 January 
Time: 1.00 pm
COURSE FEES Full: R220,00  Staff and Students R110,00
Venue: LT3 Kramer Law Building UCT